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    基于深度信念网络的TBM施工弱胶结地层斜井顶板冒落预测

    Research on roof collapse prediction in TBM construction weakly cementedstrata inclined shaft based on deep belief network

    • 摘要: 针对TBM施工煤矿斜井过弱胶结地层顶板冒落风险预测问题,以陕西榆林可可盖煤矿斜井TBM掘进过弱胶结地层为研究背景,采用深度信念网络(DBN)的时间序列预测(TSF)算法,对弱胶结地层斜井TBM施工参数数据库及冒落事件进行分析,提出了该类地层条件TBM掘进顶板冒落评价指标,用于顶板冒落风险预测。研究结果表明,采用TBM法施工斜井过西部地区白垩系弱胶结软岩地层,可采用4个指标进行顶板冒落预警,即VAF<0.80,MRE>0.10,R1<0.85和R2<0.60;对主斜井弱胶结地层不同位置的12段顶板冒落风险进行预测,成功预测10处,正确率达83.3%,验证了冒落风险预测算法的可靠性。

       

      Abstract: Aiming at the problem of roof collapse risk prediction of TBM construction coal mine inclined shaft crossing through weakly cemented strata, this study takes the TBM tunnelling passing through weakly cemented strata in Kekegai Coal Mine in Yulin, Shaanxi as the research background. The time series forecasting (TSF) algorithm of deep belief networks (DBN) is used to analyze the TBM construction parameter database and collapse events in weakly cemented strata inclined shafts. Evaluation indicators for TBM tunnelling roof collapse under such strata conditions are proposed for roof collapse risk prediction. The research results indicate that when using TBM method to construct inclined shafts crossing through weakly cemented soft rock strata in the western region of the Cretaceous, four indicators can be used for roof collapse warning, namely VAF<0.80, MRE>0.10, R1<0.85, and R2<0.60; taking 12 sections from different positions of weakly cemented strata in the main inclined shaft to predict the risk of roof collapse, 10 locations are successfully predicted, achieving an accuracy rate of 83.3%, verifying the reliability of the collapse risk prediction algorithm.

       

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