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    煤炭与氢能耦合发展的路径、风险及展望

    Paths, risks and prospects of coal-hydrogen coupled development

    • 摘要: 在全球能源体系向绿色清洁转型的背景下,氢能作为高效低碳的二次能源、灵活的能源载体、绿色清洁的工业原料,已成为实现碳中和目标的关键路径之一。我国“富煤、贫油、少气”的资源禀赋,与能源转型“先立后破”的基本原则,决定了煤炭与氢能耦合发展是兼顾能源安全底线与深度低碳转型的必然选择。系统梳理了煤炭与氢能耦合的三大实践模式:煤炭企业从传统燃料供应转向规模化氢能供应、以绿氢嵌入煤化工流程降低全生命周期碳足迹、依托产业基础构建区域一体化氢能生态;重点剖析了四大关键技术路径进展与瓶颈,包括煤化工耦合绿氢、氢基冶金、煤电掺氨、以氢固碳。研究指出,当前耦合发展仍面临多重现实制约:绿电绿氢供给波动性与工业连续生产稳定性不匹配、政策体系与市场化定价机制尚不健全、绿色溢价过高导致企业转型经济压力突出、重资产行业路径依赖与组织能力重构难度大。展望未来,煤炭与氢能耦合将围绕供应链延伸、产业链升级双向推进,推动煤炭产业由高碳燃料向低碳原料与能源载体转型,为我国能源结构转型与碳中和目标实现提供重要支撑。

       

      Abstract: Against the backdrop of the global energy system transitioning toward green and low-carbon development, hydrogen energy, as a high-efficiency and low-carbon secondary energy source, a flexible energy carrier, and a clean industrial feedstock, has become one of the key pathways for achieving carbon neutrality goal. China’s resource endowment of being “rich in coal, poor in oil, and lean in natural gas”, together with the fundamental principle of “establishing the new before abolishing the old” in the energy transition, determines that the coupled development of coal and hydrogen is an inevitable choice for balancing energy security and deep decarbonization. In this paper, three practical models for coal-hydrogen coupling are systematically reviewed as follow: coal enterprises shifting from traditional fuel supply to large-scale hydrogen supply; embedding green hydrogen into coal chemical processes to reduce the full-life-cycle carbon footprint; leveraging industrial foundations to build regional integrated hydrogen ecosystems. The progress and bottlenecks of four key technological pathways are analyzed in depth, including coal chemical industry coupled with green hydrogen, hydrogen-based metallurgy, ammonia co-firing in coal-fired power plants, and hydrogen-based carbon fixation. The study points out that the current coupled development still faces multiple practical constraints, including mismatches between the intermittency of green electricity and green hydrogen supply and the stability required for continuous industrial production, incomplete policy systems and market-based pricing mechanisms, high green premiums causing significant economic pressure on enterprises for transition, and difficulty in breaking path dependence and restructuring organizational capabilities in asset-heavy industries. Looking ahead, coal-hydrogen coupling will advance along two directions, extending the supply chain and upgrading the industrial chain, thereby promoting the transformation of the coal industry from a high-carbon fuel to a low-carbon feedstock and energy carrier, providing vital support for China’s energy structure transition and carbon neutrality goals.

       

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