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    煤制烯烃和煤制天然气项目能耗评价体系的构建与优化

    Construction and optimization of capacity optimization evaluation system for Coal-To-Olefin and Coal-To-Gas industries

    • 摘要: “十四五”后期,我国煤制烯烃和煤制天然气产业面临行业投资过热风险,亟需通过产能优化实现增量调控,为此构建了煤制烯烃和煤制天然气项目能耗评价体系。详细梳理了产业的相关政策,引入碳排放强度指标,初步构建能耗评价体系。通过对企业调研,获取生产工艺及装备、资源与能源消耗、清洁生产等数据,分析数据并完善评价体系,对煤制烯烃、煤制天然气产业新增产能的优化量进行科学预测。最后,建议煤制烯烃产业能耗(不考虑原料用能扣减)的基准水平和标杆水平分别为3 100、2 800 kgce /t(kgce为“千克标准煤”),水耗基准水平和标杆水平分别为22、16 m3/t,碳排放强度基准水平和标杆水平分别为10.0、7.1 tCO2/t;煤制天然气产业能耗基准水平和标杆水平分别为1 300、1 200 kgce / kNm3,水耗基准水平和标杆水平分别为5.5、5.0 m3/kNm3,碳排放强度基准水平和标杆水平分别为5.3、3.6 tCO2/ kNm3。应用完善后的能耗评价体系,可对在建、拟建项目进行评价,样本涵盖440万t/a煤制烯烃产能和200亿m3/a煤制天然气产能,预计其中40.91%的煤制烯烃产能和50%煤制天然气产能,还需要进一步工艺优化后再批准。

       

      Abstract: During the latter stage of the 14th Five-Year Plan period, the coal-to-olefin and coal-to-gas industries in China have been confronted with the risk of excessive industrial investment. Therefore, it is imperative to achieve incremental regulation through capacity optimization. To address this issue, an energy consumption evaluation system for coal-to-olefin and coal-to-gas projects was established. First, relevant industrial policies were systematically reviewed, and a carbon emission intensity indicator was introduced to preliminarily construct the energy consumption evaluation system. Subsequently, through enterprise investigations, data related to production processes and equipment, resource and energy consumption, and cleaner production were collected. Based on the analysis of these data, the evaluation system was further refined, thereby enabling a scientific prediction of the optimized increment of newly added capacity in the coal-to-olefin and coal-to-gas industries. The results indicate that, for the coal-to-olefin industry, the benchmark and advanced levels of energy consumption, without considering the deduction of feedstock energy consumption, are recommended to be 3 100 and 2 800 kg of standard coal per ton, respectively. In addition, the benchmark and advanced levels of water consumption are suggested to be 22 and 16 m3/t, respectively, while the benchmark and advanced levels of carbon emission intensity are proposed as 10.0 and 7.1 tons of CO2 per ton, respectively. For the coal-to-gas industry, the benchmark and advanced levels of energy consumption are recommended to be 1 300 and 1 200 kg of standard coal per thousand normal cubic meters, respectively. Correspondingly, the benchmark and advanced levels of water consumption are suggested to be 5.5 and 5.0 m3 per thousand normal cubic meters, respectively, whereas the benchmark and advanced levels of carbon emission intensity are proposed as 5.3 and 3.6 tons of CO2 per thousand normal cubic meters, respectively. By applying the refined energy consumption evaluation system, both under-construction and proposed projects can be systematically assessed. The evaluated samples cover 4.4 million tons per year of coal-to-olefin production capacity and 20 billion cubic meters per year of coal-to-gas production capacity. The assessment results further indicate that approximately 40.91% of the coal-to-olefin production capacity and 50% of the coal-to-gas production capacity still require further process optimization before project approval can be granted.

       

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