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    基于案例推理的采煤工作面动态风险分级管控模型研究

    Research on the dynamic risk classification and control model for coal mining faces based on Case-Based Reasoning

    • 摘要: 为提高煤矿采煤工作面风险管控的动态性与精准性,针对传统风险评估方法难以适应井下环境实时变化、忽视历史经验复用等问题,提出基于案例推理(CBR)的动态风险分级管控模型。通过构建涵盖人员、设备、环境、管理四维特征属性的风险案例库,结合灰色聚类法量化指标权重,基于文本匹配的案例检索与相似度计算算法,实现新风险案例的快速匹配与管控措施复用。以陈家沟煤矿8511工作面为例,验证模型在顶板与瓦斯风险场景中的应用效果:案例检索相似度达100%,可精准复用支护加固、瓦斯监测等管控措施,风险等级判定准确率提升23%。研究表明,该模型通过动态更新案例库与多属性匹配机制,显著增强风险应对的时效性与针对性,为煤矿安全生产提供智能化决策支持。

       

      Abstract: To improve the dynamic and precise risk control in coal mining faces, this study proposes a dynamic risk classification and control model based on Case-Based Reasoning (CBR), addressing the limitations of traditional risk assessment methods that struggle to adapt to real-time changes in underground environments and neglect the reuse of historical experience. By constructing a risk case base covering four-dimensional characteristic attributes (personnel, equipment, environment, and management), quantifying indicator weights using the grey clustering method, and designing a case retrieval and similarity calculation algorithm based on text matching, the model achieves rapid matching of new risk cases and reuse of control measures. Taking the 8511 working face of Chenjiagou Coal Mine as an example, the model's application in roof and gas risk scenarios was tested: case retrieval similarity reached 100%, allowing precise reuse of support reinforcement, gas monitoring, and other control measures, with the accuracy of risk level determination increasing by 23%. The research demonstrates that the model significantly enhances the timeliness and specificity of risk response through dynamic case base updates and multi-attribute matching mechanisms, providing intelligent decision-making support for coal mine safety production.

       

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